New Dubai Real Estate Market Indicates Strengthening in Rental Payments

  • Price and rent declines continued in Dubai residential market in Q2 2018
  • According to the Property Monitor Index, rents have registered 12-month declines of 5.0% on average
  • An estimated 3,700 residential units have been handed over across Dubai during the second quarter

Cavendish Maxwell has released its Q2 2018 Dubai Real Estate Market Report providing a summary of the residential market activity and highlighting price and rent movement and upcoming supply of residential properties. The data is provided by Property Monitor, a real estate intelligence platform powered by RICS accredited property professionals. The report also includes a sector focus on hospitality.

Price and Rent Performance

In Q2 2018 sales prices across the residential market registered quarterly declines of 1.1% for villas/townhouses and apartments. Meanwhile rental declines have averaged 2.5% over the same period. Rent declines were more pronounced in International City (Clusters), The Greens in Emirates Living, Discovery Gardens and Al Furjan averaging 12-month changes of more than 6%. According to Property Monitor’s database of rental contracts, the majority of the rental agreements for residential properties in Q2 2018 were in one cheque (38% of total), however it reduced by 12% compared to last quarter. Rental payments made in four cheques increased by 6% over the quarter. This is among the incentives that landlords have been offering to keep units occupied.

Residential Sales

Off-plan sales accounted for 58% of the total sales in Q2 2018. Mohammed Bin Rashid City, Business Bay and Jumeirah Village Circle dominated the off-plan sales during the second quarter of the year. On the other hand, Dubai Marina and International City led the secondary market apartment sales, along with Dubai Sports City, which accounted for 33% of the total apartment secondary sales during Q2 2018. Secondary market sales among villas/townhouses surpassed the off-plan sales in Q2 2018, led by Emirates Living and International City, which together accounted for 23% of the total secondary market sales registered during the second quarter.

Residential Supply

For the remainder of the year, the majority of the upcoming supply is concentrated in Business Bay, Jumeirah Village Circle and Downtown Burj Khalifa. Approximately 52% of the upcoming supply expected to be handed over during Q3. Increasing handovers will continue to impact rents in most locations across Dubai as tenants have more choice. This will also impact occupancies in existing stock and should be factored into net yield estimations for the forthcoming period.

Property Monitor Residential Survey

The report also incorporates the Property Monitor Residential Survey, conducted among partner agents operating within Dubai. The survey shows that majority of agents expect prices and rents to decrease by up to 5% in Q3 2018. However, majority believe that the transaction activity will improve over the next quarter and buyer enquiries, seller instructions and agreed sales will be higher than those in Q2.


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