Short to Medium Term Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Outlook Remains Positive

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Abu Dhabi Real Estate market maintains positive performance according to Q4 2013 market report

Jones Lang LaSalle has released its fourth quarter (Q4) 2013 Abu Dhabi Market Overview report covering the office, residential, retail and hospitality market sectors.

The report highlighted that there is continued stability across all market sectors, supported by major government investment initiatives and positive sentiment.

Commenting on the report, David Dudley, Regional Director and Head of Abu Dhabi office at Jones Lang LaSalle, Middle East & North Africa, said: “The residential sector is leading Abu Dhabi’s market recovery. Prime residential sales prices increased on average by 6% during Q4 2013, resulting in annual growth of 25% during 2013 – driven by improved investor sentiment and expectations of further price and rental growth.

“The prime residential rental market increased on average by 8% during Q4 2013, resulting in annual growth of 17% during 2013 – in part driven by new job growth, reduced commuting from Dubai and removal of the 5% annual rent cap.

Retail, hospitality and office sectors have remained stable and are poised for recovery as supply and demand become more balanced. This continued stability remains selective in terms of quality of location, design and management – leading to product differentiation and two-tier performance between high grade and low grade property.”

Summary highlights, Abu Dhabi Market Overview, Q4 2013:

There were a number of major completions in the office market this quarter, including Capital Tower at Capital Centre, the World Trade Centre building on Hamdan Street and the Landmark Tower on the Corniche. In spite of 140,000 sq m of new office supply, vacancy rate increased from 38% to 39% reflecting improved market absorption of new supply.

Residential stock increased by around 4,400 units in Q4, bringing the total stock in locations monitored by Jones Lang LaSalle to around 218,000 units. Additions to supply included units at Saadiyat Beach and Al Reef.

Sales prices for residential units witnessed a 6% increase in Q4 2013 resulting in a total annual increase of 25% during 2013. This increase has however been limited to Prime projects and does not represent a general increase across the whole market.

Prime residential rents also increased by 8% during Q4 resulting in an annual increase of 17% during 2103 to reach AED 140,000 (average rent for a Prime 2 bedroom apartment) but once again this increase only applies to prime product.

Retail stock increased by approximately 67,000 sq m of GLA this quarter with the delivery of the World Trade Centre Mall on Hamdan Street and the Eastern Mangroves Promenade retail complex. Average line store retail rents remained unchanged this quarter at AED 2,887 / sq m per annum for malls on Abu Dhabi Island and at 1,990 / sq m per annum for malls outside Abu Dhabi.

While the hotel sector continues to witness new completions, the market is approaching recovery, with occupancies increasing to 67% (during the first eleven months of 2013) and RevPAR up by 7% compared to YT November 2012. Occupancies are at their highest level since 2008 and while ADR’s have continued to be under pressure over the past year, 2014 is expected to register an increase in average performance as demand increases and the level of new supply moderates.

David Dudley, concluded: “The short to medium term market outlook remains positive, driven primarily by major government-backed construction and infrastructure projects such as the airport expansion, transport improvements and leisure attractions. However, a long term sustainable market recovery remains dependent on further government initiatives to diversify the economy and generate new long-term sustainable employment growth. A sustainable recovery, is also dependent on the government continuing to implement further supply controls to ensure a balanced real estate market going forward.

The Abu Dhabi market looks positive in the medium term, but there will be selective strong performers specific to sectors, locations, user requirements, property management and overall infrastructure.”

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